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COFFEE/CEPEA: Rains hinder Arabica harvest

Cepea, July 1, 2026 – The coffee market was strongly influenced by the atypical volume of rainfall recorded in Brazil's main Arabica-producing regions in June, according to Cepea researchers. Historically, this month is characterized by very limited precipitation; however, in 2026, volumes were significant in key producing areas, hindering the progress of the 2026/27 harvest. According to Cepea researchers, in addition to knocking beans off the trees, the rains make drying on

SUGAR/CEPEA: High supply keeps prices down

Cepea, 06/23/2026 – White crystal sugar quotations continue to fall in the São Paulo market, amid low liquidity. According to Cepea researchers, the recent rains have reduced the pace of sugarcane harvesting, but the volume of sugar available has been sufficient to maintain the downward movement, as buyers remain withdrawn. On the supply side, data from Mapa indicated a significant decrease of 25% in sugar production in the Center-South in the second half of May compared to

PERSPEC 2026-CAFÉ/CEPEA: Positive expectation for the 26/27 Brazilian harvest should keep prices fluctuating in 2026

Cepea, 12/30/2025 – The year 2026 should once again be marked by high volatility in coffee prices. Cepea researchers indicate that, with the beginning of the year still characterized by tight stocks, even with the Vietnam harvest in progress, the lower global availability of coffee tends to keep prices at higher levels, a scenario similar to that observed in much of the second half of 2025. Although there are signs of a slowdown in domestic and international demand, the suppl

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